농업경제연구

Korean Agricultural Economics Association

제목 한․미 FTA 오렌지 관세인하가 국내 주요 과일가격에 미치는영향분석
저자 문한필, 이현근, 박한울
발행정보 54권 1호 (2013년 3월) 페이지 15~38
키워드
초록 To analyze the impact of the KORUS FTA on the domestic fruit market, this study conducted a consumer survey on the consumption substitution effects of importing oranges on domestic fruits and estimated the impact of lowering tariffs for imported oranges on domestic fruit prices using a simultaneous equation based on monthly import statistics during the main orange-importing period. According to the survey results, it was found that 64% of surveyed consumers could feel the drop in orange prices and one quarter of surveyed consumers increased their purchase of oranges while decreasing their consumption of domestic fruits. The prices of domestic fruits increased sharply higher than previous years since the KORUS FTA went into effect, and the main cause of this big increase in the price was due to the reduction in supply amount resulting from a bad harvest. The lowering of tariffs for oranges, on the other hand, had the effect of limiting the prices of domestic fruits such as mandarin oranges, oriental melons, strawberries, and cherry tomatoes. The tariff reduction of oranges imported from the U.S. had the effect of lowering the price of mandarin oranges by 10.4% and melons, strawberries, and cherry tomatoes by 3~4%. In response to the tariff reduction for imported oranges, consumers responded to the overall reduction in welfare by increasing their purchase of imported oranges. On the other hand, the domestic fruit growers who harvest and supply their produce during the orange-importing period suffered a welfare reduction compared to previous years as they failed to sufficiently compensate the sharp drop in supply amount with a price increase.
논문파일 농업경제연구-2013(54권제1호)-02.pdf