농업경제연구

Korean Agricultural Economics Association

제목 공간계량경제 방법론을 이용한 단수반응모형의 예측력에 관한 비교연구
저자 이병훈, 문한필
발행정보 53권 3(국문)호 (2012년 9월) 페이지 23~43
키워드
초록 The objective of this study is to develop rice response models to account for the impact of weather on rice yield and to project the rice yield level. In order to consider spatial autocorrelation effects, spatial econometrics approaches are used. The empirical results showed that rice yield level are strongly influenced by weather variables. The forecasting power of the rice yield models was improved by adding the spatial autocorrelation effect. Out of sample forecasting tests confirmed the spatial response models are more accurate than using general multiple regression models.
논문파일 농업경제연구-2012(53권제3호)-국문-02.pdf