농업경제연구

Korean Agricultural Economics Association

제목 기후변화가 쌀 단수변화에 미치는 영향:비모수적 및 준모수적 분석
저자 권오상, 김창길
발행정보 49권 4호 (2008년 12월) 페이지 45~64
키워드
초록 This article investigates the impacts of climate change on per hectare rice production in Korea, using a 32 year data set. Both nonparametric kernel regression and semiparametric partially linear models are estimated. The article employs several newly-developed methos that incorporate not only continuous but also (ordered or unordered) discrete explanatory variables such as regional dummies or time indices. By constructing and using regional-level data, this study incorporates much more observations than the existing works. It is shown that there is a positive relation between the average temperature and land productivity, but the impact is very small when the temperature is relatively high. There is a negative relation between the average rainfall and land productivity. It is shown that weather shocks in a harvest season have higher impacts on the productivity than those in other season.
논문파일 농업경제연구-2008(49권제4호)-03.pdf