| 초록 |
Citrus has been famous for the best quality and high-income item in Cheju, Korea. However, the market pirce of Korean Citrus in domestic markets is decreasing recently due to the low price orange import and the consumer's taste change for sweets. In addition, WTO/DDA agricultural negotiations in progressing will be predicted to give more effects on Korean Citrus industry than those of UR negotiations on agriculture. This paper aims to establish forecasting simulation model and particularly analyuze WTO/DDA impacts on KOrean Citrus industry in terms of WTO/DDA agricultural negotiations. This study points out the future economic indexes of the Korean Citrus in detail usch as production, consumption, import & export, income by scenario based on the Cancun first draft of modalities for agricultural negotiation.
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